Since the penetration of notebooks with LED backlights was only 15% in 2008, and increased to 60% in 2009, it is estimated that it can be as high as 88% in 2010, which has led to the initial growth of the LED die market. !
From 2008, the use of LED backlights for LCD TVs was almost zero, and it has grown to 10% penetration in 2009. It is now estimated that LED LCD TVs will account for 27% of all LCD TV shipments in 2010. This is driving LEDs. An important pillar of grain growth.
In the LED lighting market, as the brightness of LEDs continues to increase, but the price and cost are falling, the LED entering the general lighting market seems to be in a realm of water.
Under these factors, it is estimated that the 2010 market value of $10.7 billion will grow to $20.4 billion in 2012.
In terms of LED manufacturers, the first-tier leaders in the LED industry are manufacturers in Europe, the United States and Japan. Includes Nichia, Toyota Synthetic, Philips Lumileds, Cree and Osram, as well as Toshiba, Panasonic and Sharp. They not only have high-end technology and intellectual property rights, but also move forward in the high-end ultra-high brightness LED market. So the goal is to focus on general lighting and car lighting.
As for the LED backlight on the panel, European and American companies are not interested in entering this market, and only some companies in Japan have intervention. So the strategy is to get some royalties through authorization.
As for the second-tier manufacturers of LEDs, mainly Taiwan and South Korea companies. Since both countries have the overall value chain of LCD panels, their investment in LEDs is valued by their added value to the overall industry chain, so they can fully produce the required products through authorized intellectual property rights. Big profit.
The third-level LED manufacturer is in mainland China. LED manufacturers in mainland China are earning the lowest margin LEDs. For example, in South Korea, there are only five LED packaging plants, but there are more than 1,000 packaging plants in mainland China, and low-end LED packaging is the mainstay.
As many large factories in mainland China continue to significantly expand their LED production capacity, it is estimated that the number of new MOCVD machines in the world will reach 662 in 2010, which is equivalent to the sum of the previous three years. In addition, research institutes also estimate that there will be more MOCVD next year, so whether the demand increase is faster or the supply increases faster, all of which make manufacturers nervous.
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